Archive for June, 2011

Gushing FT summary of fracking in Texas sees enhanced recovery negating peak oil.

June 24, 2011 Oil
The extent to which fracking can lift production impresses Sheila McNulty in the FT. “That is something those fixated on the concept of peak oil seem to resist understanding,” she concludes. Her long article doesn’t mention environmental issues.

Citizens across world oppose nuclear power, favour solar, poll finds.

June 23, 2011 Nuclear

A new opinion poll from Ipsos MORI tells us how the battle for hearts and minds is going: 62% of citizens in 24 countries across the world oppose the use of nuclear energy, with a quarter of those having change their minds after Fukushima. In the UK, the split is 50:50. In France, 67% are opposed. The Guardian environment editor finds himself impressed with the data. Solar is the most popular energy technology.

IEA oil release “changes the market pyschology” on oil.

June 23, 2011 Oil

Hedge fund bulls are reviewing their tactics, the FT reports. Lawrence Eagles, head of oil analysis at JPMorgan:“The IEA’s move limits the near-term upside to oil prices.” Javier Blas of the FT thinks the move makes sense, and likens it to a “smart bomb” usage of the IEA’s reserves (whereas before releases had been assumed to be a nuclear option only). See here for a summary of the recent history leading up to he decision.

Locations for 8 new nuclear power reactors released by UK government.

June 23, 2011 Nuclear

The eight sites are: Bradwell, Essex; Hartlepool; Heysham, Lancashire; Hinkley Point, Somerset; Oldbury, south Gloucestershire; Sellafield, Cumbria; Sizewell, Suffolk; and Wylfa, Anglesey. All are adjacent to existing nuclear sites. The Guardian notes that this the first major announcement on the future of nuclear power in the UK since the Fukushima disaster in Japan.

Oil price falls as IEA decides to release 60 mbd from reserves to offset Libyan decline.

June 23, 2011 Oil

The 28 IEA countries decide to release 2mbd for 30 days. The FT notes that it is is only the third release since the start of the IEA in 1974. The IEA press release notes: “The normal seasonal increase in refiner demand expected for this summer will exacerbate the shortfall further. Greater tightness in the oil market threatens to undermine the fragile global economic recovery.” The US leads, contributing 50%.

“Climate change is a struggle for the soul of America: Al Gore.

June 22, 2011 Climate

Writing in Rolling Stone magazine, Al Gore argues that the US electroal system is broken, and only a mass movement can now deliver. He has harsh words for Obama’s lack of effort. Last paragraph: “The climate crisis, in reality, is a struggle for the soul of America. It is about whether or not we are still capable — given the ill health of our democracy and the current dominance of wealth over reason — of perceiving important and complex realities clearly enough to promote and protect the sustainable well-being of the many. What hangs in the balance is the future of civilization as we know it.”

Transocean blames BP for the Macondo spill.

June 22, 2011 Oil
In its internal report, Transocean claims BP’s decisions were “driven by BP’s knowledge that the geological window for safe drilling was becoming increasingly narrow”. BP failed to properly assess, manage and communicate risk to its contractors.

O&G industry figures that floating LNG terminals will take the public heat off gas production.

June 22, 2011 Gas

The FLNGs, as the industry is now calling them, allow production where once it was too expensive to put in pipelines, and is out of the public eye. The first, Shell’s, is set for Australia. Others are thinking of following suit, the FT reports.

EU emissions will not rise as a result of Germany’s nuclear phase out.

June 22, 2011 Climate, Coal, Gas

German emissions will rise: Point Carbon estimates by 493 megatonnes by 2020. But emissions will not rise overall across the EU because the EU emissions trading scheme has an absolute cap on emissions from energy-intensive industry until 2020. Countries where generators switch away from coal, because of the resulting increase in carbon price, are likely to see their emissions dip. This includes the UK.

US Supreme Court ruling vindicates use of Clean Air Act to fight global warming: NYT.

June 22, 2011 Climate

A NYT editorial professes that use of the Clean Air Act to fight global warming has now been very much vindicated: a positive spin on the decision. The EPA “plans to propose new rules to regulate emissions from new and existing power plants by next September. With the failure of cap-and-trade legislation last year, the E.P.A.’s rules are among the last remaining regulatory weapons the government can use to combat global warming; a counterattack from some power companies and their Congressional allies can be anticipated. The court’s reasoned reaffirmation of the law and the government’s obligation to carry it out is thus timely and welcome.”

Leaked Russian nuclear stress test report reveals a disastrous state.

June 21, 2011 Nuclear

A report for Russian President Dmitry Medvedev prepared by Rosatom in the wake of Fukushima  is leaked to NGO Bellona. It reveals that Russia’s atomic reactors are grievously under-prepared for both natural and man-made disasters ranging from floods to fires to earthquakes or plain negligence.

US public has little idea how certain scientists are about climate change.

June 21, 2011 Climate

A Yale University poll finds that just 13% of US citizens get the correct answer when asked, which is that in fact about 97 percent of American scientists say that climate change is happening.

AP investigation finds US regulators relax standards as plants age.

June 20, 2011 Nuclear

From leaking valves to busted seals and nozzles, the NRS undermines safety by softening standards, the AP concludes.

EIA budget cuts will cloud understanding of oil markets.

June 20, 2011 Oil

A range of services will go, including the publication of data on US oil reserves, and a study of the link between prices and trading. This at a time the G20, including the US, has called for greater transparency in commodities trading.

U.S. Supreme Court rules against states on global warming case.

June 20, 2011 Climate

The  long-running suit against five big power companies ends in an apparent victory for the utilities. The justices unanimously overturn a U.S. appeals court ruling that the lawsuit now involving six states can proceed in an effort to force the coal-burning plants to cut emissions of gases that contribute to climate change. Regulating greenhouse gases should be left to the EPA under the revised clean air laws, they rule.

Ernst & Young report on UK solar PV shows large-scale grid parity as soon as 2016.

June 20, 2011 Clean Energy

The report predicts that, with continued support in the short term, the levelised cost of large-scale solar PV will be no higher than retail energy prices by 2016-19. Panel prices will halve from 2009 – 2013, falling to $1. Solar PV can play “an important role” in UK electricity targets, E&Y concludes.

“Fukushima report shows nuclear power can never be safe and cheap”.

June 20, 2011 Nuclear

So says Damian Carrington in the Guardian, commenting on the IAEA report on the Fukushima disaster. ” The first “independent” review of the safety failures during Japan’s nuclear disaster reveals some chillingly obvious “lessons” to be learned”.

“Germany goes back to black in snub to green power”: Reuters.

June 20, 2011 Clean Energy, Climate, Coal

The German government is not boosting existing renewables policies consistent with the nuclear phase out, analysts observe. Those with coal and gas capacity, such as RWE and Eon – the same companies losing nuclear – are set to benefit as things stand.

Texas law requires frackers to list chemicals they use in gas drilling.

June 20, 2011 Gas

This is significant, the WSJ reports, because although other states have done the same, if it happens in Texas the gas industry knows the writing is on the wall.

Obama is right to leave the Strategic Petroleum Reserve alone even as prices rise.

June 19, 2011 Oil

So says Ed Crooks in the FT. The 727 mb reserves in Louisiana salt domes would only lift the pain temporarily, and risk the US even worse off if oil supply worsens rather than improves.

Wall Street has an “irrational, dangerous hatred of solar stocks”.

June 19, 2011 Clean Energy, Finance

“Solar is undervalued, thanks to the market’s continuing focus on oil,” argues Garvin Jabusch of Alt Energy Stocks on CNBC.com. “Solar is hated (and shorted) in spite of being the fastest-growing energy sector in the U.S. (67% 2010 growth; 66% growth just in the first quarter of 2011) and in the world (70% 2010 growth), and also even though its shares trade at very low valuations already.”

  • My most recent commentaries

    • The greenest-ever government after the Clean Energy Ministerial: a delusion.

      It is “incredibly disappointing”, Jeremy Leggett founder and chairman of Solarcentury told Channel 4 News. “Mr Cameron was elected in major part because he detoxified the Conservative brand on the promise of being the greenest government ever. He is a fine mile short of that. ….All our confidence is shot to pieces. ….It’s the same with investors, and it’s part of a bigger pattern. Meanwhile, these are global industries, and other countries are not making the same mistakes. They’re deluding themselves. You talk to people from other countries – they think it’s a joke. We’re making an exhibition of ourselves.”

    • “Ghost at the banquet” attends Clean Energy Ministerial.

      Business Green: Jeremy Leggett, Founder and Chairman of Solarcentury, who will be attending the event as one of three solar industry representatives, said: “Solarcentury is attending this gathering to make three key points. First, the days when policy makers could dismiss PV as ‘nice to do’ but ‘too expensive’ are over.  PV is an essential ally in the global struggle to deliver energy security and a cost-effective low and then zero carbon future.  Second, Governments must stop pandering to the fossil fuel and nuclear lobby, a stance which is driving out the very investment which is needed to drive forward PV and other renewable energy technologies. And third, Governments need to resist the temptation to keep undermining successful feed-in tariff policies.  This industry will continue to cut costs, invest in new products and jobs, but it needs predictable public policy not knee-jerk panic of the type for example that has undermined the UK scheme.”

    • Take-up of UK solar PV has more than halved since April 1st.

      Business Green: “Weekly government figures revealed that solar firms installed an average of 2MW each week since the start of April, marking a sharp decline from the 4.8MW average capacity installed in the same weeks last year. This month’s figures are the lowest since January 2011, aside from the week leading up to 1 January 2012, when just 0.4MW of capacity installed. They also reveal that only one business-scale installation was completed last week, the lowest level since January 2011. …Jeremy Leggett, founder and chairman of Solar Century, said many installers were reporting that trade had declined by 90% since last year. “The heat’s totally gone out of the market,” he said. “It’s not just about the feed-in tariff but the government has succeeded in confusing people and making them lose interest in solar power. They’ve done a great job in stuffing the embryonic industry.” …Leggett also urged the government to draw up a roadmap to help the industry achieve DECC’s stated goal of delivering 22GW of solar capacity by 2020. “We could help them draw up a roadmap. Surely they must at least now be minded to have a rethink of their policies,” he added. “The nuclear ship is going down in the UK and they must have realised that the next question is about where the clean energy is going to come from. Or are they going to listen to the new carbon industries who think we can “frack” our way to energy independence?””

    • Supreme Court kicks out DECC appeal on feed-in tariffs.

      ClickGreen: “Jeremy Leggett, Chairman, Solarcentury said: “The Supreme Court has today confirmed that the Government simply has no grounds to appeal the decision that its handling of solar Feed-in tariffs was illegal. This final step in the legal process has wasted much needed time and money and now we, the renewables industry, simply want to get on with creating our clean energy future. Renewables can only play the pivotal role necessary to deliver a new green economy if we have a stable market and investor confidence backed by lawful, predictable and carefully considered policy. I hope the Government is now clear that it will be held to account if they try to act illegally and push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but Ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by Government actions.” More in the Guardian.

    • “We are trying to grow a business in a minefield”.

      E2B Pulse: ““Disastrous” solar Feed-in-Tariffs, the “cavalier irresponsibility” of bankers, and a government that is “mortgaging the future” – Jeremy Leggett is a man with strong opinions. In an exclusive interview with E2B Pulse’s News Editor James Kershaw, Solarcentury’s Executive Chairman argues there’s a war raging against the UK’s renewable energy industry – one that he’s prepared to fight.”

    • PV’s “glittering future” in a near £250bn global green tech market within next decade.

      ClickGreen: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of UK-based Solarcentury said: “Any industry (PV) growing volume at 69% and cutting costs 40% whilst netting nearly $100 billion you would suspect might have a glittering future. Big Energy needs to understand that this industry is coming for their market share fast, first in Germany and soon after in other countries, they should embrace solar technology and cease their pushback in defence of a ruinous and increasingly expensive status quo. The UK government is among those who need to understand that their accommodation of Big Energy’s special pleading will cause them to lose out in a job-rich global industry just as it approaches a mass market.”

    • Wrexham installs 30,000 locally made solar panels on 3,000 low-income homes.

      Guardian: “Jeremy Leggett, chair of Solarcentury, said the solar would not be crushed. “The government does not want anything to impinge on the prospect of centralised power from the big six electricity companies. But well before 2020 solar will be cheaper than nuclear or gas. It’s not the end of the industry but of our opportunity in Britain to grow a domestic industry that could compete with those in Germany and elsewhere. It will explode again, but it will not be British.”

    • Why so much coverage for one exploding Scottish wind turbine?

      My latest Sublime column, on Big Energy PR blowback against renewables. “What to do about this? Most of us do what we can to support renewables within our circles of influence, be they vocational or domestic. That might boil down just to switching supplier from EDF and otherBig Six companies to Ecotricity or Good Energy. But someone reading this might actually work in a Big Energy PR department, or in one of its hired-gun agencies. You could always leak us the plan for myth-sowing about renewables.”

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

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