Archive for July, 2011

Koch, Exxon Mobil, BP and other corporations help write state climate laws.

July 21, 2011 Climate

The energy companies helped write identical legislation for multiple states at a meeting organized by a group they finance, the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC). Corporations pay fees to sit and draft with legislators, documents obtained by Bloomberg News show.

“Rising energy costs move up political agenda”.

July 21, 2011 Clean Energy, Coal, Gas

David Blair reports in the FT that SSE’s price rise, the third of the Big 6, means that 6% of the median post-tax salary now goes on the average dual-fuel £1,265 domestic energy bills.

EU leaders agree another Greek bailout, this time of more than €100bn.

July 21, 2011 Finance

Trying to stop the eurozone contagion, they have agreed a further €109bn plus called in private bondholders, to contribute a further #37bn under conditions that amount to a partial default. Sarkozy says that the EU has effectively created a European Monetary Fund. Will they succeed? In the FT, Philip Stephens asks whether this crisis, and the US equivalent, are a spasm or a spiral. He concludes it is too early to panic: bold leadership could solve both crises.

Does carbon accounting doom the London financial markets to fail again?

July 20, 2011 Climate, Coal, Finance, Gas, Oil

John Elkington on the CarbonTracker report: “Having written my first report on climate change in 1978, I have been dutifully tracking the evolving science for half a lifetime, but only on Friday 15 July 2011 did I truly feel that the climate, carbon and financial agendas had been spot-welded in a way that potentially brings all of this right home to people such as asset owners, rating agencies, brokers, analysts, investment bankers, accountants, data providers and financial regulators.”

EDF’s French next gen reactor delayed another two years.

July 20, 2011 Nuclear

EDF says completion of its first French next-generation EPR nuclear reactor will now be in 2016, not 2014. In July 2010, if delayed the start of the 1,600 megawatt nuclear reactor from 2012 to 2014 and raised its cost estimate from 4 to 5 billion euros. It now expects the cost to rise to 6 billion euros ($8.52 billion). EDF blames complex engineering and Fukushima.  The project will take almost twice the time originally announced and nearly twice the budget. The company hopes to build two of these at Hinckley Point and two at Sizewell.

Half Turkmenistan gas production now goes to China.

July 20, 2011 Gas

Export began last month via the longest pipeline in the world (8,700 km). Turkeminstan will export 40 bcm pa, around half its production, 30 of which will be delivered by this pipeline.

Saudi oil consumption surges dangerously.

July 19, 2011 Oil

Saudi Arabia is on course to consume an average  2.8 m barrels a day this year. This would make it the world’s sixth-largest oil consumer behind the US, China, Japan, India and Russia. On a per capita basis, consumption is set to jump by 5.6 per cent against the global average of 1.4 per cent. Demand is up 75% in the last ten years. The IEA estimates that more than 0.5 mbd are being burned in electric power plants.

Arctic ice on track for a record low, worse than 2007.

July 18, 2011 Climate

The National Snow and Ice Data Centre reports that Arctic sea ice extent declined rapidly through the first two weeks of July, at a rate averaging nearly 120,000 square kilometers (46,000 square miles) per day. Ice extent is now tracking below the year 2007, which saw the record minimum September extent.

Planned gas-fired power plants in UK threaten renewables development.

July 18, 2011 Clean Energy, Gas

Friends of the Earth ask MPs to reject the UK government’s energy plan on the basis that the big energy companies are planning dozens of new fossil-fuel stations that will impede the development of renewables.

The conditions for the next financial crisis are “firmly in place”.

July 18, 2011 Finance

Andrew Smithers in the FT: “Financial crises occur when debt levels are excessive and asset prices fall. The severity of the recession that ensues can then be mitigated by large increases in government deficits and large cuts in interest rates. / Today the conditions for the next financial crisis are already in place. Debt remains at pre-crisis levels and US equities and UK property are seriously overpriced. But the ability to reduce the impact of the next recession with large increases in government deficits and sharp falls in interest rates has vanished.”

Catastrophe awaits if America cannot service its public debt and defaults.

July 17, 2011 Finance

Will Hutton walks through the drama in the Observer: “When President Obama, the supreme rationalist, says that there are just days to avert Armageddon, everyone should sit up and listen. For months, Republicans have used their new majority in the House of Representatives to block any move to lift the artificial cap on the amount the US government can borrow. If by this Friday they still refuse – insisting on up to $4trillion of spending cuts, excluding defence, and no tax increases as the price of their support – then the US will be unable to service its public debts. The biggest economy on Earth will default.  /  The results will be catastrophic…. The US government will have to start to wind down: soldiers’ wages and public pensions alike will be suspended. But in the financial markets there will be mayhem. Interest rates will shoot up and there will be a flight from the dollar. Banks, uncertain about their expected income from their holdings of US Treasury bonds and bills, will call in their loans, creating a second credit crunch.”

Record drought cripples farms across southern US.

July 17, 2011 Climate

The last 9 months have been the driest on record. The drought zone extends from Arizona to Florida. Gov. Rick Perry of Texas has designated 3 “days of prayer for rain” meanwhile cutting the budget of agency battling record wildfires.

Rating agencies edge closer to downgrade of US credit rating.

July 15, 2011 Finance

Standard & Poor’s warning: a 50-50 chance it could cut its triple-A status within the next three months. The trigger is the deadlocked talks between the White House and Republicans on raising the government’s $14.3tn (£8.9tn) borrowing limit.

Nine banks fail EU stress tests.

July 15, 2011 Finance

This out of 91 undergoing them: a failure rate lower than predicted that prompts questioning of the severity of the testing. Failed banks have to raise more capital.

“The astounding potential of a solar energy tipping point”.

July 15, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

A Treehugger.com editorial blog based on a 2 minute video: “Once you get to the interview with Jeremy Leggett, he says something very simple, but very profound—as soon as people see solar energy at work, they want to see more of it.”

Conventional assets across the oil majors’ portfolios to fall from 48% to 39% by 2016.

July 14, 2011 Finance, Gas, Oil

Investment in conventional assets accounted for 63% of the Majors’ total capital expenditure between 2001 – 2005.  Wood Mackenzie calculates that the proportion falls to 40% in 2011 to 2015.  Increasing investment in the deepwater (23% vs. 17%) and LNG sectors (18%vs. 11%) makes up the largest difference, with heavy oil/oil sands (9% vs. 6%) and unconventional oil/gas (9% vs. 3%) most of the remainder.

Conoco-Phillips breaks up to focus just on exploration and production.

July 14, 2011 Gas, Oil

The third biggest integrated US oil and gas company is hiving off its refining and marketing in a “shrink to grow” strategy that will make it a super-independent like Apache. It has given trying to grow by acquisition, the FT reports.

700,000 more families fell into fuel poverty in 2009.

July 14, 2011 Clean Energy

Now one in five, 5.5 m homes, pay more than 10% of income on energy bills. And four of the Big 6 have yet to announce their price rises.

Action is needed on “unburnable carbon” by every sector in the financial chain.

July 14, 2011 Commentaries, Finance

In particular, regulators should require reporting of reserves and potential CO2 emissions by listed companies and those applying for listing. They should aggregate and publish this data. My Guardian blog on the CarbonTracker report.

Solar omitted from DECC’s list of 8 key renewables.

July 13, 2011 Clean Energy

In the Renewables Roadmap produced by DECC alongside the White Paper on electricity market reform, 8 renewable technologies expected to “key” by 2020 are listed. They are onshore and offshore wind, marine energy, biomass electricity and biomass heat, ground and air source heat pumps, and renewable transport technologies such as biofuels and hydrogen fuel cells. Solar industry representatives are surprised and disappointed.

Carbon floor price gives EDF an instant £125m revenue 2013-2020.

July 13, 2011 Clean Energy, Nuclear
The FT reports Vincent de Rivaz, chief executive of EDF Energy, as saying the contracts for difference provide “the tools that we need ….Let us work with the government to use them.”
  • My most recent commentaries

    • The greenest-ever government after the Clean Energy Ministerial: a delusion.

      It is “incredibly disappointing”, Jeremy Leggett founder and chairman of Solarcentury told Channel 4 News. “Mr Cameron was elected in major part because he detoxified the Conservative brand on the promise of being the greenest government ever. He is a fine mile short of that. ….All our confidence is shot to pieces. ….It’s the same with investors, and it’s part of a bigger pattern. Meanwhile, these are global industries, and other countries are not making the same mistakes. They’re deluding themselves. You talk to people from other countries – they think it’s a joke. We’re making an exhibition of ourselves.”

    • “Ghost at the banquet” attends Clean Energy Ministerial.

      Business Green: Jeremy Leggett, Founder and Chairman of Solarcentury, who will be attending the event as one of three solar industry representatives, said: “Solarcentury is attending this gathering to make three key points. First, the days when policy makers could dismiss PV as ‘nice to do’ but ‘too expensive’ are over.  PV is an essential ally in the global struggle to deliver energy security and a cost-effective low and then zero carbon future.  Second, Governments must stop pandering to the fossil fuel and nuclear lobby, a stance which is driving out the very investment which is needed to drive forward PV and other renewable energy technologies. And third, Governments need to resist the temptation to keep undermining successful feed-in tariff policies.  This industry will continue to cut costs, invest in new products and jobs, but it needs predictable public policy not knee-jerk panic of the type for example that has undermined the UK scheme.”

    • Take-up of UK solar PV has more than halved since April 1st.

      Business Green: “Weekly government figures revealed that solar firms installed an average of 2MW each week since the start of April, marking a sharp decline from the 4.8MW average capacity installed in the same weeks last year. This month’s figures are the lowest since January 2011, aside from the week leading up to 1 January 2012, when just 0.4MW of capacity installed. They also reveal that only one business-scale installation was completed last week, the lowest level since January 2011. …Jeremy Leggett, founder and chairman of Solar Century, said many installers were reporting that trade had declined by 90% since last year. “The heat’s totally gone out of the market,” he said. “It’s not just about the feed-in tariff but the government has succeeded in confusing people and making them lose interest in solar power. They’ve done a great job in stuffing the embryonic industry.” …Leggett also urged the government to draw up a roadmap to help the industry achieve DECC’s stated goal of delivering 22GW of solar capacity by 2020. “We could help them draw up a roadmap. Surely they must at least now be minded to have a rethink of their policies,” he added. “The nuclear ship is going down in the UK and they must have realised that the next question is about where the clean energy is going to come from. Or are they going to listen to the new carbon industries who think we can “frack” our way to energy independence?””

    • Supreme Court kicks out DECC appeal on feed-in tariffs.

      ClickGreen: “Jeremy Leggett, Chairman, Solarcentury said: “The Supreme Court has today confirmed that the Government simply has no grounds to appeal the decision that its handling of solar Feed-in tariffs was illegal. This final step in the legal process has wasted much needed time and money and now we, the renewables industry, simply want to get on with creating our clean energy future. Renewables can only play the pivotal role necessary to deliver a new green economy if we have a stable market and investor confidence backed by lawful, predictable and carefully considered policy. I hope the Government is now clear that it will be held to account if they try to act illegally and push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but Ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by Government actions.” More in the Guardian.

    • “We are trying to grow a business in a minefield”.

      E2B Pulse: ““Disastrous” solar Feed-in-Tariffs, the “cavalier irresponsibility” of bankers, and a government that is “mortgaging the future” – Jeremy Leggett is a man with strong opinions. In an exclusive interview with E2B Pulse’s News Editor James Kershaw, Solarcentury’s Executive Chairman argues there’s a war raging against the UK’s renewable energy industry – one that he’s prepared to fight.”

    • PV’s “glittering future” in a near £250bn global green tech market within next decade.

      ClickGreen: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of UK-based Solarcentury said: “Any industry (PV) growing volume at 69% and cutting costs 40% whilst netting nearly $100 billion you would suspect might have a glittering future. Big Energy needs to understand that this industry is coming for their market share fast, first in Germany and soon after in other countries, they should embrace solar technology and cease their pushback in defence of a ruinous and increasingly expensive status quo. The UK government is among those who need to understand that their accommodation of Big Energy’s special pleading will cause them to lose out in a job-rich global industry just as it approaches a mass market.”

    • Wrexham installs 30,000 locally made solar panels on 3,000 low-income homes.

      Guardian: “Jeremy Leggett, chair of Solarcentury, said the solar would not be crushed. “The government does not want anything to impinge on the prospect of centralised power from the big six electricity companies. But well before 2020 solar will be cheaper than nuclear or gas. It’s not the end of the industry but of our opportunity in Britain to grow a domestic industry that could compete with those in Germany and elsewhere. It will explode again, but it will not be British.”

    • Why so much coverage for one exploding Scottish wind turbine?

      My latest Sublime column, on Big Energy PR blowback against renewables. “What to do about this? Most of us do what we can to support renewables within our circles of influence, be they vocational or domestic. That might boil down just to switching supplier from EDF and otherBig Six companies to Ecotricity or Good Energy. But someone reading this might actually work in a Big Energy PR department, or in one of its hired-gun agencies. You could always leak us the plan for myth-sowing about renewables.”

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

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