Archive for August, 2011

ECB study concludes that speculators amplify fundamentals-based oil price rises.

August 23, 2011 Oil

An ECB economist joins the trend of blaming both fundamentals and speculators: “some speculative and trend chasing behaviour may have been adding to oil prices” since 2004.

Naoto Kan makes a bill pushing renewables a condition of his departure as PM.

August 23, 2011 Clean Energy

And it duly takes its first step past a Lower House Committee. The government wants its feed-in tariff scheme to boost capacity of five renewable energy types by more than 30 GW over a decade, adding more than 12 percent to Japan’s total pre-Fukushima generation capacity of 240,000 MW.

“Saving capitalism from itself”: article in Management Today.

August 23, 2011 Finance

Simon Caulkin: “Who’d have thought that, 20 years after the collapse of capitalism’s only direct rival, Karl Marx’s famous prediction that the system would collapse under the weight of its own contradictions would have become so much less unthinkable?”

Big 6 write down £600m in coal assets.

August 22, 2011 Coal

EU CO2 measures mean falling profitability of coal stations in the medium-term. EDF Energy has booked a £340m write-down on its Cottam and West Burton coal-fired power stations. RWE npower and Eon have writedowns too.

World’s largest solar farm switches from solar thermal to PV.

August 22, 2011 Clean Energy

Solar Millennium AG changes its plans for the proposed 1GW Blythe solar farm in California, and will install the first 500MW of the facility using PV panels. The reason is plunging PV prices.

Essar Energy shares fall as Indian government witholds permission to develop coal reserves.

August 22, 2011 Coal, Finance

The reserves in question lie below thick rainforest. Essar now cannot mine coal in time for a power plant to use, and will have to buy on the open market.

Customer demand pushes German railways to target zero carbon.

August 22, 2011 Clean Energy

Deutsche Bahn says it wants to raise the percentage of wind, hydro and solar energy to power its trains from 20% now to 28% in 2014 and become carbon-free by 2050. Some local railways in Hamburg and Saarland already run on 100 percent renewable energy, proudly boasting about that in advertising. DB’s trains transport 1.9 billion passengers and 415 million tonnes of freight each year at speeds of up to 300 kph (186 mph), using 2% of all German electricity: 12 terawatt hours, as much as Berlin with its 3.2 million residents consumes. DB are exploring the harvesting of solar power from the roofs of their 5,700 stations.

Japan says some areas near Fukushima will remain uninhabitable for many years.

August 22, 2011 Nuclear

The 90,000 evacuated residents had all been expecting to return home. Of 50 sites monitored, 35 have levels exceeding 20 millisieverts of radiation exposure a year, the level at which the government considers evacuation becomes necessary. At Okuma, a town 3km from the nuclear power plant, the reading was 508.1 millisieverts per year. With the stable cooling of the reactors completed in July, the government expects a cold shutdown of the plant to be completed in January.

Sea-level rise is turning the rivers of the Mekong delta saline.

August 21, 2011 Climate
Climate change is turning the rivers of the Mekong Delta rice bowl salty, spelling disaster for millions of poor farmers as the saline waters spread slowly upstream. Only Jamaica is more threatened by a 1 metre rise.

UK defence ministry opposes windfarms because they “interfere” with detection of nuclear tests.

August 19, 2011 Change for Good

Hundreds of turbines have been turned down on application because of the MoD’s concerns for its Eskdaleuir array, the Guardian reveals.

FTSE 100 falls below 5,000 amid fears of double dip recession.

August 19, 2011 Finance

Gold reaches a new high as traders shun stocks. Pundits talk of many pointers to the failing health of capital markets.

Solar PV price declines will outpace demand growth, analysts say.

August 18, 2011 Clean Energy

“The global solar market for grid-connected systems will grow from 15.8 GW in 2010 to 37.5 GW in 2016, a compound annual growth rate of 15.5 percent,” says Lux Research Analyst Matt Feinstein. “However, price declines will outpace volume increases, at least at first. The industry will actually shrink on a revenue basis from $64.4 billion in 2010 to $56.9 billion in 2012.” Eight countries will be at grid parity, in the residential sector, by 2016.

China sounds India out on the prospect of joint military patrols to safeguard oil tankers.

August 18, 2011 Oil

The Hindustan Times reports this proposal, for Indian Ocean transit, so OilPrice.com relays. China’s oil imports rose to 55.2 percent for the first five months of 2011, of 9.61 mbd.

Self-inflicted political backlash now threatens Big 6s’ viability, analysts believe.

August 17, 2011 Clean Energy, Coal, Gas, Nuclear

The FT reports that analysts think the Big 6 energy companies’ integrated models are now under serious threat. Much of the attacking by politicians is self inflicted. Ofgem is looking at forcing the Big 6 to auction 20% of their electricity, and Labour 100%. This when £200bn must be invested in new energy infrastructure by 2020.

Fukushima cooling system was probably crippled before the tsunami struck.

August 17, 2011 Nuclear

A investigation by the Independent: “Throughout the months of lies and misinformation, one story has stuck: it was the earthquake that knocked out the plant’s electric power, halting cooling to its six reactors. The tsunami then washed out the plant’s back-up generators 40 minutes later, shutting down all cooling and starting the chain of events that would cause the world’s first triple meltdown.” But plant workers are telling reporters that the cooling system had failed pre tsunami.

UK banks still fund cluster bomb makers.

August 16, 2011 Change for Good

RBS, Lloyds TSB, Barclays and HSBC have all provided hundreds of millions of pounds to companies that manufacture cluster bombs. This despite a growing global ban outlawing the production and trade therein.

“Saudi Arabia is Opec’s real winner”: FT.

August 16, 2011 Oil

With production up to 9.8 mbd last month, almost as high as its record in 1981, selling at over $100 a barrel, the Kingdom is faring much better than rival Iran, where production is down to its lowest level in 8.5 years, at 3.5 mbd. Saudi is the sole swing producer now, says Paul Horsnell of Barclays Capital.

Leaking Shell pipeline is biggest North Sea oil spill for a decade.

August 15, 2011 Oil

1,300 barrels leaks from the pipeline by the time Shell fixes it. Greenpeace criticises Shell for being too slow to announce the discovery.

BP suffering from such a skills shortage that growth is threatened.

August 14, 2011 Oil

So the head of operations in the North Sea professes. A dearth of UK engineering skills is the core of the problem.

“We’ve been warned: the system is ready to blow”.

August 14, 2011 Finance

“Only a new way of managing the global economy can prevent more mayhem in the markets and on the streets,” writes Larry Elliot in the Guardian. “Wall Street and the City will resist all attempts at clipping their wings. There is strong ideological resistance to the policies that make decent wages in a full employment economy feasible: capital controls, allowing strong trade unions, wage subsidies, and protectionism.”

Demonstration in China forces closure of chemical plant after near flood by sea.

August 14, 2011 Change for Good, Climate, Oil

The petrochemical plant was feared by the population, and then a tropical storm nearly flooded it. 12,000 gathered, convened by Chinese social media (Twitter being banned in China), and the local government quickly closed the plant.

  • My most recent commentaries

    • The greenest-ever government after the Clean Energy Ministerial: a delusion.

      It is “incredibly disappointing”, Jeremy Leggett founder and chairman of Solarcentury told Channel 4 News. “Mr Cameron was elected in major part because he detoxified the Conservative brand on the promise of being the greenest government ever. He is a fine mile short of that. ….All our confidence is shot to pieces. ….It’s the same with investors, and it’s part of a bigger pattern. Meanwhile, these are global industries, and other countries are not making the same mistakes. They’re deluding themselves. You talk to people from other countries – they think it’s a joke. We’re making an exhibition of ourselves.”

    • “Ghost at the banquet” attends Clean Energy Ministerial.

      Business Green: Jeremy Leggett, Founder and Chairman of Solarcentury, who will be attending the event as one of three solar industry representatives, said: “Solarcentury is attending this gathering to make three key points. First, the days when policy makers could dismiss PV as ‘nice to do’ but ‘too expensive’ are over.  PV is an essential ally in the global struggle to deliver energy security and a cost-effective low and then zero carbon future.  Second, Governments must stop pandering to the fossil fuel and nuclear lobby, a stance which is driving out the very investment which is needed to drive forward PV and other renewable energy technologies. And third, Governments need to resist the temptation to keep undermining successful feed-in tariff policies.  This industry will continue to cut costs, invest in new products and jobs, but it needs predictable public policy not knee-jerk panic of the type for example that has undermined the UK scheme.”

    • Take-up of UK solar PV has more than halved since April 1st.

      Business Green: “Weekly government figures revealed that solar firms installed an average of 2MW each week since the start of April, marking a sharp decline from the 4.8MW average capacity installed in the same weeks last year. This month’s figures are the lowest since January 2011, aside from the week leading up to 1 January 2012, when just 0.4MW of capacity installed. They also reveal that only one business-scale installation was completed last week, the lowest level since January 2011. …Jeremy Leggett, founder and chairman of Solar Century, said many installers were reporting that trade had declined by 90% since last year. “The heat’s totally gone out of the market,” he said. “It’s not just about the feed-in tariff but the government has succeeded in confusing people and making them lose interest in solar power. They’ve done a great job in stuffing the embryonic industry.” …Leggett also urged the government to draw up a roadmap to help the industry achieve DECC’s stated goal of delivering 22GW of solar capacity by 2020. “We could help them draw up a roadmap. Surely they must at least now be minded to have a rethink of their policies,” he added. “The nuclear ship is going down in the UK and they must have realised that the next question is about where the clean energy is going to come from. Or are they going to listen to the new carbon industries who think we can “frack” our way to energy independence?””

    • Supreme Court kicks out DECC appeal on feed-in tariffs.

      ClickGreen: “Jeremy Leggett, Chairman, Solarcentury said: “The Supreme Court has today confirmed that the Government simply has no grounds to appeal the decision that its handling of solar Feed-in tariffs was illegal. This final step in the legal process has wasted much needed time and money and now we, the renewables industry, simply want to get on with creating our clean energy future. Renewables can only play the pivotal role necessary to deliver a new green economy if we have a stable market and investor confidence backed by lawful, predictable and carefully considered policy. I hope the Government is now clear that it will be held to account if they try to act illegally and push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but Ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by Government actions.” More in the Guardian.

    • “We are trying to grow a business in a minefield”.

      E2B Pulse: ““Disastrous” solar Feed-in-Tariffs, the “cavalier irresponsibility” of bankers, and a government that is “mortgaging the future” – Jeremy Leggett is a man with strong opinions. In an exclusive interview with E2B Pulse’s News Editor James Kershaw, Solarcentury’s Executive Chairman argues there’s a war raging against the UK’s renewable energy industry – one that he’s prepared to fight.”

    • PV’s “glittering future” in a near £250bn global green tech market within next decade.

      ClickGreen: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of UK-based Solarcentury said: “Any industry (PV) growing volume at 69% and cutting costs 40% whilst netting nearly $100 billion you would suspect might have a glittering future. Big Energy needs to understand that this industry is coming for their market share fast, first in Germany and soon after in other countries, they should embrace solar technology and cease their pushback in defence of a ruinous and increasingly expensive status quo. The UK government is among those who need to understand that their accommodation of Big Energy’s special pleading will cause them to lose out in a job-rich global industry just as it approaches a mass market.”

    • Wrexham installs 30,000 locally made solar panels on 3,000 low-income homes.

      Guardian: “Jeremy Leggett, chair of Solarcentury, said the solar would not be crushed. “The government does not want anything to impinge on the prospect of centralised power from the big six electricity companies. But well before 2020 solar will be cheaper than nuclear or gas. It’s not the end of the industry but of our opportunity in Britain to grow a domestic industry that could compete with those in Germany and elsewhere. It will explode again, but it will not be British.”

    • Why so much coverage for one exploding Scottish wind turbine?

      My latest Sublime column, on Big Energy PR blowback against renewables. “What to do about this? Most of us do what we can to support renewables within our circles of influence, be they vocational or domestic. That might boil down just to switching supplier from EDF and otherBig Six companies to Ecotricity or Good Energy. But someone reading this might actually work in a Big Energy PR department, or in one of its hired-gun agencies. You could always leak us the plan for myth-sowing about renewables.”

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

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