Archive for October, 2011

Belgium latest to quit the nuclear, conditionally.

October 31, 2011 Nuclear

Belgium announces a conditional agreement to shut down the country’s two remaining nuclear power stations, owned by GDF Suez unit Electrabel: a complete exit by 2025 conditional on finding enough energy from alternative sources to prevent shortages.

DECC announces £1bn support for 1,000 jobs at two Big 6 power plants.

October 31, 2011 Clean Energy, Coal, Gas

On the day it announces cuts to tariffs that will cut thousands of jobs. Sky News has the bill at nearly £1bn for the power-plants.

UK solar feed-in tariff halving by December confirmed.

October 31, 2011 Clean Energy

DECC confirms the earlier leak they had described as inaccurate, with the cuts to come in by December 12th not 8th. Solar firms say they will have to begin lay offs immediately.

Analysts: US oil production could exceed Saudi and Russia within a decade.

October 31, 2011 Oil

A long FT report examines the oul boom in the US. Combined US and Canadian production is forecast to rise from c 9 mbd now to >11 by 2040. Edward Morse, global head of commodities research at Citigroup, professes that the US can cut imports from about 10m barrels per day to about 3m b/d by the early 2020s, all from Canada and Mexico.

Middle America supports the Occupy Wall Street protests.

October 30, 2011 Finance

Edward Luce writes in the FT that the wide support may be akin to the birth of the Tea Party. A poll suggests 59% agree to the OWS, among which a third identify themselves as Republicans. Even more back a 5% surcharge on millionaires. It seems that there are objections to the richest 400 Americans having more wealth than the bottom 150 million.

Solar industry plans a march on Downing Street.

October 28, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

Business Green: “Writing to climate minister Greg Barker on Twitter, founder of Solarcentury Jeremy Leggett said that the apparent plan to impose changes to feed-in tariffs from as early as December 8 would spark a crisis for the industry. “Halving is bad enough, December is a killer. Thousands will be out of work… not without much, much noise… sorry to sound like a cross between Corporal Jones and Robert de Niro, but this is an existential threat for most in our industry”.”

UK solar FiT debacle as EST prematurely posts a briefing note on the halving of tariffs.

October 28, 2011 Clean Energy

The tariff will be 21p, the EST document says, and will come into effect from 8 December. EST isn’t the only one to jump the gun. A DECC official tells Brighton Energy Co-op the 8 Dec date before phoning back to say “that was confidential.”

Vested interests are clouding the prospects for cleatech.

October 28, 2011 Clean Energy, Finance

$243 bn poured into clean energy last year, up 30% on 2009, Sarah Murray writes in the FT. But of the top 100 global cleatech companies, some 42% of last year’s dropped out.

“Patience is a virtue in hunt for game-changing ‘green google’”: FT.

October 28, 2011 Clean Energy, Finance

The reasons include entrenched defence by vested interests. UBS recently: value of publically traded cleantech companies down to $142bn from $475bn in 2007. VCs are taking flight from early stage funding, favouring low capital-cost plays like energy efficiency. In the last quarter investments in energy storage outpaced solar for the first time. The photo in this article is of Solarcentury roof slates.

WWF report: UK can be 60-90% powered by renewables by 2030:

October 25, 2011 Clean Energy

The report is based on modelling by GL Garrad Hassan and shows that it is perfectly feasible for renewables to deliver at least 60% and up to 90% of the UK’s electricity demand by 2030, obviating new nuclear power.  By reducing demand for energy we can reduce the costs of new low carbon generation capacity by around £40 billion by 2030.

Eon & RWE ask for equity injection in UK nuclear plants.

October 25, 2011 Nuclear

The FT reports that they have asked Areva or Toshiba, the bidders to their Project Horizon consortium (up for 4 of the 12 proposed reactors), to put in €5bn for 25%, as a way to spread their risk. RWE has net debts of €27bn.

6 reasons for a workable solar PV feed-in tariff.

October 25, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

UK climate minister Greg Barker thinks aloud on Twitter about his solar feed-in tariff budget challenge. He asks me why the solar FiT is good value. I respond with 6 reasons.

RWE CEO condemns solar PV as inefficient and poor value.

October 25, 2011 Clean Energy

Volker Beckers, chief executive of RWE npower, tells The Times that the amount of electricity that some solar panels generate does not justify the subsidies received by consumers who install them. He “admits” that solar power is inefficient and that poorer households are subsidising richer ones who can afford to install panels on their roofs.

Industry fears UK government is about to halve UK solar feed-in tariff.

October 25, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

The Guardian: “Jeremy Leggett, founder of Solarcentury, said “[This is] the ridiculous spectacle of a government destroying jobs it had only just created to save next to nothing, given the tax paid by those jobholders and the unemployment benefit avoided, merely to pander to a Daily Mail lie machine that has green measures detracting from the national economy rather than adding.” He accused the nuclear and gas industries of conducting a propaganda war against green energy.”

Swiss researchers analyse how banks control transnational power.

October 24, 2011 Finance

An analysis of the relationships between 43,000 transnational corporations identifies a relatively small group of companies, mainly banks, with disproportionate power over the global economy. So New Scientist reports. “In effect, less than 1 per cent of the companies were able to control 40 per cent of the entire network,” says James Glattfelder, one of the researchers at the Federal Institute of Technology. Most are financial institutions, the top 20 including Barclays Bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co, and Goldman Sachs.

US-China war of words on solar trade hots up.

October 24, 2011 Clean Energy

Gordon Brinser, president of SolarWorld, on behalf of the Coalition of American Solar Manufacturing:  “The Chinese government’s claims that our actions are improper and protectionist, and that its illegal subsidies and massive dumping of solar product are helping the global economy and the environment, are absurd. China is one of the biggest trade protectionists in the world. In the solar industry, China is gutting manufacturing and jobs here in America and abroad while China’s solar industry pollutes its own people. The accusations have no basis in fact.”

Altium Securities calls the solar sector “uninvestable”.

October 21, 2011 Clean Energy, Finance

This after PV Crystalox issued another profits warning, the expecting upturn in Germany not having arrived.

UK government slashes support for non-marine renewables.

October 20, 2011 Clean Energy

ROCs are cut for onshore wind,  biomass from plants or waste byproducts to generate energy, and hydropower. They are dropped for generating energy from landfill gas. The savings could be as little as £400m, and no more than £1.3bn. Guardian: “Ministers are sensitive to a growing clamour in sections of the media attacking high energy bills and blaming “green taxes” for the problem, even though research shows low-carbon subsidies make up only a small fraction of bill rises.”

Huge independent scientific study confounds climate sceptics.

October 20, 2011 Climate

The Berkeley Earth project compiled more than a billion temperature records dating back to the 1800s from 15 sources around the world. Result: the average global land temperature has risen by around 1C since the mid-1950s.

Chinese government allows municipal bonds.

October 20, 2011 Finance

The cities of Shanghai and Shenzhen, and the Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces will be able to sell debt themselves instead of going through the central government, according to a Finance Ministry statement yesterday. The Shanghai stock exchange climbed on this news of relaxing fiscal policy aiming to tackle corporate debt at the local level.

Lead up to the UK FiT review “feels like Groundhog Day”.

October 19, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

A report of my presentation to the Parliamentary Renewable and Sustainable Energy Group: “While we were doing 200MWp, Germany did 7,000MWp. We have to overcome our culture of ‘big energy’ […] we need a ‘glide path’ of FiT degressions, not a ‘cliff’. There is never progress without confrontation, and we have to take it to Treasury. We have to debunk the lie about the cost of green energy.”

  • My most recent commentaries

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

    • UK government loses appeal on illegality of DECC’s solar feed-in tariff cuts.

      Three more judges rule, in the Appeal Court that the government’s proposal to cut tariffs from 12 December was illegal. Business Green: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of Solarcentury, said the news was a positive outcome for the entire renewable energy industry: “Today we have reminded government that it will be held to account when it acts illegally and tries to push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by government actions since October”.”

    • “The carbon bubble will burst – we must be prepared this time”.

      Business Green: “This is really important. No matter where you stand in the green debate, the threat posed by the systemic over valuation of carbon intensive firms and assets is a critical issue that should concern you – really, really concern you.” …. That is the warning currently being sounded by the recently launched Carbon Tracker Initiative, which last week released its second report on the scale of the so-called “carbon bubble” and wrote to Bank of England Governor Mervyn King urging him to take action. The two reports from the group – which is backed by some high profile green thinkers and investors, including the WWF, Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett, former chief scientist Sir David King, and Conservative MP Zac Goldsmith – should be required reading for political leaders, business leaders, and economists everywhere. If there was any sense of proportion, it would be at the top of the agenda at this week’s annual billionaire schmooze-fest at the World Economic Forum in Davos.”

    • Investors ask BoE to probe risk that fossil-fuel reserves pose “sub-prime” risk.

      Fossil fuel reserves listed in the City of London are “sub-prime” assets posing a systemic risk to economic stability. So warns a high-profile coalition of investors, politicians and scientists , writing an open letter to Sir Mervyn King asking him to launch an investigation. Signatories include Aviva Investors, Climate Change Capital, Conservative politician Zac Goldsmith and Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett. Abatement policies could mean billions of pounds of fossil fuel reserves will rapidly lose value and cause a “major problem” for institutional investors and pension funds. Guardian: “CarbonTracker’s latest report reveals that coal reserves held by 16 London-listed companies will release 45bn tonnes of CO2 when burned, equivalent to 86 years of annual UK emissions, which are the tenth highest in the world. Most of the coal is in other countries such as Australia and South Africa.”

    • Richard Branson: “the absolute necessity” of investing in renewables.

      Richard Branson, in posting my latest blog on his website: “Struck by this email from my friend Dr Jeremy Leggett over Christmas highlighting the growing divide between those that believe in the absolute necessity of investing in renewable fuels and those who ignore the obvious need – preferring to focus on short term goals and profits. I believe we must keep investing in alternative fuels to help reduce our Global carbon problem. Those fearing that economic growth will be stifled by investment in renewables are wrong.” etc.

    • High Court rules UK government has acted illegally of solar feed-in tariff target date.

      My message to BBC Radio’s The World Tonight: let us turn this humiliation for HMG into something positive and get back to where we were: creating jobs the nation needs in these hard times. And to Business Green: “We encourage the Secretary of State to accept the judge’s very clear ruling, to not plunge the industry into a further period of uncertainty by considering going to appeal, and to conduct the remainder of the current consultation process properly with constructive conversations with the industry.”

    • Big 6 pressure on UK government led to UK solar feed-in tariff ambush.

      My view in the Huffington Post: “There are only two possibilities, given the absence of a credible savings narrative and the seemingly lethal intent of the six week warning and the market-shrivelling energy-efficiency pre-qualification. One is breathtaking collective incompetence. The other is conspiracy.
      The answer is conspiracy. So I have been told in recent weeks by insiders in Whitehall, Westminster, and in the relevant parts of the energy, PR, and financial industries.”

    • Countercurrents: the triple crunch we face and the barriers to renaissance.

      In an extended interview in India, I talk about the similarities between the credit crunch and the peak oil issue, and the power of renewables and why clean-energy industries are being held back.

    • “A focus on renewables would allow the Government to deliver on some of its cornerstone mantras”.

      My latest column in Sublime magazine: “The current government in Britain appears to be playing fast and loose with some fantastic renewable energy opportunities – and ones that could provide much-needed jobs. what is that about? If the British Prime Minister were being authentic, he could be leading on an impressive story right now. Those of his core mantras that involve energy, taken together in strategic harness, make for an inspiring vision. Picture the scene. His Big Society concept sees communities taking power for themselves, providing for themselves. In short, Britain could be less centralised, more community-centric, more resilient to economic shocks.”

  • MY COMMENTARY ARCHIVE

  • My recent tweets