Archive for November, 2011

Top 20 banks lending to coal listed by NGOs.

November 30, 2011 Climate, Coal, Finance

Three American banks –JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Bank of America – top the list of coal financiers, having between them provided at least €42bn to the coal sector since 2005. Barclays took fifth place, having lent more than €11.5bn to big coal companies in the same period.

Largest UK CCS plant opens in Yorkshire.

November 30, 2011 Climate, Coal

The plant at Ferrybridge, an SSE coal station, will capture only some of the fumes: 5 MW worth from 2,000.

“A focus on renewables would allow the Government to deliver on some of its cornerstone mantras”.

November 30, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

My latest column in Sublime magazine: “The current government in Britain appears to be playing fast and loose with some fantastic renewable energy opportunities – and ones that could provide much-needed jobs. what is that about? If the British Prime Minister were being authentic, he could be leading on an impressive story right now. Those of his core mantras that involve energy, taken together in strategic harness, make for an inspiring vision. Picture the scene. His Big Society concept sees communities taking power for themselves, providing for themselves. In short, Britain could be less centralised, more community-centric, more resilient to economic shocks.”

“29/11/11: a turning point in British history”.

November 30, 2011 Finance

So writes Newsnight’s economics editor. “Yesterday’s Autumn Statement will set the political tone of the decade: it will tie the hands of future governments; and it has already brought a philosophical debate on the British right to an abrupt end. Within six hours of their tight-lipped ordeal on the government benches, Lib Dem MPs heard Danny Alexander pledge them to go into the 2015 election fully committed to £30bn more austerity than they signed up for in the Coalition Agreement. ….Plan A, in short, failed. It failed because the eurozone did begin to slow, and confidence was hit, and so exports – having surged – will not surge much more. But also because the very survival mechanism adopted by the Bank of England – near-zero interest rates, QE and talking down the pound, which has produced and maintained a 20% fall of sterling against world currencies – led to imported inflation. This has hammered the spending power of a workforce whose wages have been pinned to the floor, even in the weak recovery phase.”

Central Banks step in to try and head off next credit crunch.

November 30, 2011 Finance

Stock markets surge after central bankers say they will cut the interest rate on emergency dollar loans to cash-strapped banks by 0.5 percentage points and extend the scheme until February 2013. In the dollar swap scheme to date, though, banks have been reluctant to borrow from central banks, for prestige reasons.

Select Committees hear both sides on UK solar feed-in tariff cuts.

November 29, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

Greg Barker to a combined meeting of the Environmental Audit and Energy & Climate Change Committees: delaying UK the cuts to April would be “bonkers”. Jeremy Leggett: “they have launched a lethal attack on the underpinnings of a vital industry.” A fairly full ventilation of the issues.

Chancellor is wrong to blame Europe for lost decade now inevitable.

November 29, 2011 Finance

So argues Martin Wolf in the FT: “The big facts are that the UK is set for a lost decade and a longer period of stringency than expected. The government’s position is that there is no alternative. That has now become a self-fulfilling prophecy. So blame foreigners: that always works.”

“The eurozone has only days to avoid collapse”.

November 27, 2011 Finance
Wolfgang Munchau in the FT: “Last week, the crisis reached a new qualitative stage. With the spectacular flop of the German bond auction and the alarming rise in short-term rates in Spain and Italy, the government bond market across the eurozone has ceased to function.The banking sector, too, is broken. Important parts of the eurozone economy are cut off from credit. The eurozone is now subject to a run by global investors, and a quiet bank run among its citizens.”

Carbon trading “not working” UBS says, as carbon price hits record low.

November 25, 2011 Change for Good
The price of carbon permits has fallen to an all-time low. Bankers and traders now  question the future of the EU and UN cap-and-trade scheme. “The carbon scheme isn’t working,” Per Lekander, analyst at Swiss bank UBS writes.

US blocks flagship climate fund.

November 24, 2011 Climate

Ahead of the Durban climate summit next week, the US, backed by Saudi Arabia, has still not agreed to adopt a blueprint for the Green Climate Fund. Proposed at the 2009 Copenhagen climate summit, the fund channels “a significant portion” of the $100bn a year developed countries have promised to mobilise by 2020 to help developing countries fight climate change.

Saudi fuel demand for power plants to rise 53% by 2017.

November 23, 2011 Oil

As demand surges, the Kingdom will need 53% more fuel to fire its power and desalination plants by 2017, the head of Water & Electricity Co. says: 2.3 million barrels a day of oil equivalent, compared with 1.5 million barrels last year. Saudi Arabia is using ever more of its 12.5 million barrel-a-day oil capacity at home as it builds new houses and industries that require electricity. The amount of crude burned for power generation has doubled since 2008 and the IEA says this may reach 600,000 barrels a day this year. Khalil al-Shafie, interim president of King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, says the country may use 8 million barrels of oil equivalent a day by 2035.

Shale gas exploitation would take UK way over carbon allowance.

November 23, 2011 Gas
Scientists from the Tyndall Centre warn in a report commissioned by the Cooperative Group that exploiting even a minor proportion of the UK’s reported shale gas resource would generate so much carbon dioxide that the government’s greenhouse gas emissions targets would be rendered unreachable. Paul Monaghan, head of social goals at the Cooperative: “The calls from ‘big gas’ for the abandonment of renewables targets must be rebuffed, and here is the science to do just that.” The report also found that the amount of investment needed to exploit gas reserves – about £32bn – would be enough to build 2,300 offshore wind turbines, which would produce enough renewable energy to meet government targets.

UK government’s “green deal” ignores microgeneration.

November 23, 2011 Clean Energy

Government estimates, of Green Deal measures announced today show the average household should pay £94 a year less for energy than they would without the policies. In Chris Huhne’s flagship energy and climate policy, due for a start in late 2012, 14m homes could be fitted with insulation and other energy-saving measures, creating 65,000 new jobs and helping millions of people out of fuel poverty. Households will be offered loans of up to £10,000 to install the energy-saving measures, which will be paid off over years by small additions to their bills, easily countervailed by savings. Energy companies must contribute £1.3bn a year to ensure as many households as possible benefit. There will also be safeguards against “cowboy” builders, in the form of government-set standards for the work. Microgeneration doesn’t figure.

UK solar mass lobby of Parliament: passions running high as job losses loom.

November 22, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries

Business Green: “Around 25 companies, organisations, and entrepreneurs protested throughout the day, including Jeremy Leggett, founder and Chairman of Solarcentury, Homesun chief executive Daniel Green, and representatives from Keep Britain Tidy and the London Occupation at St Paul’s Cathedral.” 500 take part, with the rest of the solar industry busy rushing to get projects done by 12 December. In a video interview, I speak my mind about the malign role of the Big 6.

Solar trade way grows more likely.

November 21, 2011 Clean Energy

As Chinese manufacturers prepare to move some production offshore, to Korea etc, Beijing says it would respond to any US surcharges on Chinese importsto the US by itself targeting US polysilicon exports.

“Rich nations ‘give up’ on climate treaty until 2020″.

November 20, 2011 Climate

The Guardian: “Ahead of critical talks starting next week, most of the world’s leading economies now privately admit that no new global climate agreement will be reached before 2016 at the earliest, and that even if it were negotiated by then, they would stipulate it could not come into force until 2020.”

Michelle Bachman: Solyndra “makes Watergate look like child’s play”.

November 20, 2011 Clean Energy

This is the kind of hyperbole Steven Chu had to face during a 5 hour grilling on the Solyndra bankruptcy. The FT takes a dim view in an editorial. “Solyndra is one of many to benefit from the $18.4bn in clean energy loans from Mr Obama’s $787bn stimulus package in 2009. Some are thriving. … the bigger question – how to frame an effective incentive for the growth of clean energy – may well be a casualty of the Solyndra scandal. At a time when China and others are building a dominant share of the global clean energy market, this could impose a far higher eventual cost on the US taxpayer.”

“India should claim full nuclear liability from suppliers”.

November 20, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries, Nuclear

So I say in the Times of India. This way, no investor will back nuclear, and India can “catch up and shine” in clean energy, which is preferable, and the imperative if India wants to avoid the economic devastation of climate change.

Kashagan, “biggest oil discovery in 40 years”, may become a $39bn white elephant.

November 19, 2011 Oil

Bloomberg: “After 11 years and $39 billion of investment, Exxon Mobil, Shell and their partners have yet to sell a drop of oil from what was touted as the world’s biggest discovery in four decades.” The project is $15 billion over budget and 8 years behind schedule. There are now concerns as to whether it can ever be profitable. Peter Voser: “We will finish phase one and then we will look at phase two afterwards.” Kashagan has proved potentially lethal as well as complicated. The oil, 4,2 km deep (2.6 miles), is in a  highly pressurized reservoir, and has a high concentration of poisonous “sour gas.”

IPCC’s first special report on extreme weather: much worse to come.

November 18, 2011 Climate

Chris Field, co-chair of the IPCC working group that produced the report: the message is clear – extreme weather events were more likely. “Some important extremes have changed and will change more in the future. There is clear and solid evidence [of this]. We also know much more about the causes of disaster losses.” Damian Carrington in the Guardian: “the new (report) highlights that 95% of deaths from such disasters occur in the developing world, while most of the economic losses occur in the developed world. We lose stuff, they lose their lives.”

World Bank agrees to lend to Moroccan CSP plant.

November 17, 2011 Clean Energy

The Ouarzazate solar complex, south-east of Marrakesh, will have a capacity of 500 MW when completed, enough to power around 90,000 homes. The FT reports that its first phase, a 160MW plant, will cost around $1bn, financed with a $200m loan, and another $97m via a clean technology fund it oversees.

  • My most recent commentaries

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

    • UK government loses appeal on illegality of DECC’s solar feed-in tariff cuts.

      Three more judges rule, in the Appeal Court that the government’s proposal to cut tariffs from 12 December was illegal. Business Green: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of Solarcentury, said the news was a positive outcome for the entire renewable energy industry: “Today we have reminded government that it will be held to account when it acts illegally and tries to push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by government actions since October”.”

    • “The carbon bubble will burst – we must be prepared this time”.

      Business Green: “This is really important. No matter where you stand in the green debate, the threat posed by the systemic over valuation of carbon intensive firms and assets is a critical issue that should concern you – really, really concern you.” …. That is the warning currently being sounded by the recently launched Carbon Tracker Initiative, which last week released its second report on the scale of the so-called “carbon bubble” and wrote to Bank of England Governor Mervyn King urging him to take action. The two reports from the group – which is backed by some high profile green thinkers and investors, including the WWF, Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett, former chief scientist Sir David King, and Conservative MP Zac Goldsmith – should be required reading for political leaders, business leaders, and economists everywhere. If there was any sense of proportion, it would be at the top of the agenda at this week’s annual billionaire schmooze-fest at the World Economic Forum in Davos.”

    • Investors ask BoE to probe risk that fossil-fuel reserves pose “sub-prime” risk.

      Fossil fuel reserves listed in the City of London are “sub-prime” assets posing a systemic risk to economic stability. So warns a high-profile coalition of investors, politicians and scientists , writing an open letter to Sir Mervyn King asking him to launch an investigation. Signatories include Aviva Investors, Climate Change Capital, Conservative politician Zac Goldsmith and Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett. Abatement policies could mean billions of pounds of fossil fuel reserves will rapidly lose value and cause a “major problem” for institutional investors and pension funds. Guardian: “CarbonTracker’s latest report reveals that coal reserves held by 16 London-listed companies will release 45bn tonnes of CO2 when burned, equivalent to 86 years of annual UK emissions, which are the tenth highest in the world. Most of the coal is in other countries such as Australia and South Africa.”

    • Richard Branson: “the absolute necessity” of investing in renewables.

      Richard Branson, in posting my latest blog on his website: “Struck by this email from my friend Dr Jeremy Leggett over Christmas highlighting the growing divide between those that believe in the absolute necessity of investing in renewable fuels and those who ignore the obvious need – preferring to focus on short term goals and profits. I believe we must keep investing in alternative fuels to help reduce our Global carbon problem. Those fearing that economic growth will be stifled by investment in renewables are wrong.” etc.

    • High Court rules UK government has acted illegally of solar feed-in tariff target date.

      My message to BBC Radio’s The World Tonight: let us turn this humiliation for HMG into something positive and get back to where we were: creating jobs the nation needs in these hard times. And to Business Green: “We encourage the Secretary of State to accept the judge’s very clear ruling, to not plunge the industry into a further period of uncertainty by considering going to appeal, and to conduct the remainder of the current consultation process properly with constructive conversations with the industry.”

    • Big 6 pressure on UK government led to UK solar feed-in tariff ambush.

      My view in the Huffington Post: “There are only two possibilities, given the absence of a credible savings narrative and the seemingly lethal intent of the six week warning and the market-shrivelling energy-efficiency pre-qualification. One is breathtaking collective incompetence. The other is conspiracy.
      The answer is conspiracy. So I have been told in recent weeks by insiders in Whitehall, Westminster, and in the relevant parts of the energy, PR, and financial industries.”

    • Countercurrents: the triple crunch we face and the barriers to renaissance.

      In an extended interview in India, I talk about the similarities between the credit crunch and the peak oil issue, and the power of renewables and why clean-energy industries are being held back.

    • “A focus on renewables would allow the Government to deliver on some of its cornerstone mantras”.

      My latest column in Sublime magazine: “The current government in Britain appears to be playing fast and loose with some fantastic renewable energy opportunities – and ones that could provide much-needed jobs. what is that about? If the British Prime Minister were being authentic, he could be leading on an impressive story right now. Those of his core mantras that involve energy, taken together in strategic harness, make for an inspiring vision. Picture the scene. His Big Society concept sees communities taking power for themselves, providing for themselves. In short, Britain could be less centralised, more community-centric, more resilient to economic shocks.”

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