Archive for January, 2012

“The coming US-China solar war”: Time.

January 31, 2012 Clean Energy

Time: “If you’re buying solar panels or running a business installing them, life is good, but if you own a company that actually makes solar equipment in the U.S., you’re looking at a lot of red ink. That’s because solar power is getting much cheaper — prices for modules have dropped 40% over the past five years. According to some U.S. solar-panel manufacturers, that drop in price is due largely to low-cost imports from Chinese panelmakers.”

Fred Goodwin, former RBS CEO, to be stripped of knighthood.

January 31, 2012 Finance

In this effort to defuse public anger, he joins Soviet spy posing as Cambridge academic Anthony Blunt.

Dismay as Spain freezes all support for new renewables projects.

January 30, 2012 Clean Energy

Arguing the strictures of austerity, the Spanish government calls a moratorium, end date to be announced. Spain’s wind energy association says the moratorium “puts at risk a sector which is a world leader that exports goods and services of more than €2.4bn per year, and is fundamental for Spain’s energy independence”.

UK government loses appeal on illegality of DECC’s solar feed-in tariff cuts.

January 25, 2012 Clean Energy, Commentaries

Three more judges rule, in the Appeal Court that the government’s proposal to cut tariffs from 12 December was illegal. Business Green: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of Solarcentury, said the news was a positive outcome for the entire renewable energy industry: “Today we have reminded government that it will be held to account when it acts illegally and tries to push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by government actions since October”.”

“The carbon bubble will burst – we must be prepared this time”.

January 23, 2012 Climate, Commentaries, Finance

Business Green: “This is really important. No matter where you stand in the green debate, the threat posed by the systemic over valuation of carbon intensive firms and assets is a critical issue that should concern you – really, really concern you.” …. That is the warning currently being sounded by the recently launched Carbon Tracker Initiative, which last week released its second report on the scale of the so-called “carbon bubble” and wrote to Bank of England Governor Mervyn King urging him to take action. The two reports from the group – which is backed by some high profile green thinkers and investors, including the WWF, Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett, former chief scientist Sir David King, and Conservative MP Zac Goldsmith – should be required reading for political leaders, business leaders, and economists everywhere. If there was any sense of proportion, it would be at the top of the agenda at this week’s annual billionaire schmooze-fest at the World Economic Forum in Davos.”

Areva confirms private investigator was hired as ex boss starts legal action..

January 23, 2012 Nuclear

FT:  “A senior director at Areva, France’s state-owned nuclear champion, has confirmed that he did hire a Swiss intelligence firm to examine its disastrous €1.8bn purchase of a uranium miner but denied that it was part of a plot against Anne Lauvergeon, the company’s former chief executive.” Anne Lauvergeon has begun a legal action claiming her phones were tapped.

FT: “Radiant outlook for energy sector” …meaning gas.

January 20, 2012 Clean Energy, Finance, Gas

The S&P 500 is having its best start since 1987, especially in energy stocks, after a disappointing 2011, wherein when the single worst-performing share was First Solar A short on the shares was the most profitable position in 2011 for some hedge funds, such as Greenlight. “Many future deals will focus on traditional energy. But many others will also involve bets tied to the new technologies around gas generally – and shale in particular – in part because of such uncertainty” (as the Arab Spring aftermath and the Iranian sanctions).

Investors ask BoE to probe risk that fossil-fuel reserves pose “sub-prime” risk.

January 19, 2012 Climate, Coal, Commentaries, Finance, Gas, Oil

Fossil fuel reserves listed in the City of London are “sub-prime” assets posing a systemic risk to economic stability. So warns a high-profile coalition of investors, politicians and scientists , writing an open letter to Sir Mervyn King asking him to launch an investigation. Signatories include Aviva Investors, Climate Change Capital, Conservative politician Zac Goldsmith and Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett. Abatement policies could mean billions of pounds of fossil fuel reserves will rapidly lose value and cause a “major problem” for institutional investors and pension funds. Guardian: “CarbonTracker’s latest report reveals that coal reserves held by 16 London-listed companies will release 45bn tonnes of CO2 when burned, equivalent to 86 years of annual UK emissions, which are the tenth highest in the world. Most of the coal is in other countries such as Australia and South Africa.”

US regulator rejects utility’s proposed “network usage charge” ploy to suppress solar PV.

January 19, 2012 Clean Energy

The California Public Utility Commission fears that San Diego Gas & Electricity’s slapped-on charge, one that would wreck solar economics, is illegal.

BP sees non-fossil fuel growing faster than any single fossil fuel.

January 18, 2012 Oil

This is the first time any of their long term energy forecasts have said this.

Ex Areva CEO says she was victim of a plot and that the state spied on her.

January 16, 2012 Nuclear

She claims the campaign began 2007, when she opposed breaking the group up: that this “bothered a certain number of private interests,” adding “it was necessary to bring me down, and for that all means were fine, including the dirtiest”.

Saudi Arabia targets a $100 oil price.

January 16, 2012 Oil

Up a third from $75, the price it put forward as fair in 2008. The IMF has estimate $80m is needed to balance the domestic budget.

Oil price in euro equivalent is almost at July 2008 peak.

January 15, 2012 Finance, Oil

And as the Washington Post reports, economic concern is rising with it. The gathering sanctions on Iran is a big factor. Price now is not much more than $100, but the euro is not what it was. Last year’s average oil price was a record $107, up 14% on the previous record year, 2008.

Eurozone crisis deepens: S&P downgrades 7 nations including France.

January 13, 2012 Finance

François Baroin, France’s finance minister: “It is not good news … but it is not a catastrophe. It is not the ratings agencies that dictate the policies of France.”

Big 6 UK energy companies had 4 million complaints in 2011.

January 12, 2012 Coal, Gas, Nuclear

Bill mistakes and inaccurate readings caused the most anger, a Which report finds. It makes the front page of the Daily Mail.

Clean energy investment up 5% to $260bn in 2010, with solar more than half.

January 12, 2012 Clean Energy, Finance

So Bloomberg New Energy Finance reports. The US retook top position from China, thanks to stimulus measures. Ethan Zindler, of Bloomberg NEF: “We are on the verge of a turning a corner where in the next five to seven years or so, subsidy will be much less important for clean energy investment.” Solar investment was up 36% to $137bn: more than a half of all clean energy investment. Kevin Parker of Deutsche Bank Asset Management: “We are on our way to the point where solar power costs the same as fossil fuel power, and it’s not that far away. When we get there, there’s going to be a lot of money to be made by the leaders in the solar industry.”

Germany installs 7.5 GW of solar PV in 2011.

January 9, 2012 Clean Energy

The record figure is slightly exceeds the 7.4 GW recorded in 2010, says German network regulatory agency Bundesnetzagentur (BnetzA). Additions in December alone amounted to 3 GW. The pace of installations could trigger a 15 percent cut in tariffs from July 2012: it would take only 225 megawatts (MW) between January and April to trigger that level. Equinet analyst Stefan Freudenreich: “We see proponents of an annual installation cap gaining influence in the discussion, especially in the context of an overall weakening economy, making politicians more sensitive to cost burdens in the manufacturing industry sector.”  Solar PV is now just over 3% of Germany’s overall power output, or 18 billion kilowatt hours.

America Petroleum Institute threatens Obama with “political backlash”.

January 5, 2012 Oil

The API  launches a political campaign called “Vote 4 Energy”, which will use all modern comms to press both Republican and Democratic politicians to support the industry’s agenda, notably the Keystone XL pipeline.

Richard Branson: “the absolute necessity” of investing in renewables.

January 5, 2012 Clean Energy, Climate, Commentaries, Finance

Richard Branson, in posting my latest blog on his website: “Struck by this email from my friend Dr Jeremy Leggett over Christmas highlighting the growing divide between those that believe in the absolute necessity of investing in renewable fuels and those who ignore the obvious need – preferring to focus on short term goals and profits. I believe we must keep investing in alternative fuels to help reduce our Global carbon problem. Those fearing that economic growth will be stifled by investment in renewables are wrong.” etc.

Ohio earthquake probably caused by fracking wastewater.

January 4, 2012 Gas

So a seismologist studying a magnitude 4.0 event concludes.

BP sues Halliburton for the costs of the Macondo spill.

January 3, 2012 Oil

Meanwhile, Halliburton stands firm that it was indemnified by BP. The total costs may be as much as $42bn. But the US DoJ is believed to be preparing criminal charges against BP engineers.

  • My most recent commentaries

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

    • UK government loses appeal on illegality of DECC’s solar feed-in tariff cuts.

      Three more judges rule, in the Appeal Court that the government’s proposal to cut tariffs from 12 December was illegal. Business Green: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of Solarcentury, said the news was a positive outcome for the entire renewable energy industry: “Today we have reminded government that it will be held to account when it acts illegally and tries to push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by government actions since October”.”

    • “The carbon bubble will burst – we must be prepared this time”.

      Business Green: “This is really important. No matter where you stand in the green debate, the threat posed by the systemic over valuation of carbon intensive firms and assets is a critical issue that should concern you – really, really concern you.” …. That is the warning currently being sounded by the recently launched Carbon Tracker Initiative, which last week released its second report on the scale of the so-called “carbon bubble” and wrote to Bank of England Governor Mervyn King urging him to take action. The two reports from the group – which is backed by some high profile green thinkers and investors, including the WWF, Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett, former chief scientist Sir David King, and Conservative MP Zac Goldsmith – should be required reading for political leaders, business leaders, and economists everywhere. If there was any sense of proportion, it would be at the top of the agenda at this week’s annual billionaire schmooze-fest at the World Economic Forum in Davos.”

    • Investors ask BoE to probe risk that fossil-fuel reserves pose “sub-prime” risk.

      Fossil fuel reserves listed in the City of London are “sub-prime” assets posing a systemic risk to economic stability. So warns a high-profile coalition of investors, politicians and scientists , writing an open letter to Sir Mervyn King asking him to launch an investigation. Signatories include Aviva Investors, Climate Change Capital, Conservative politician Zac Goldsmith and Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett. Abatement policies could mean billions of pounds of fossil fuel reserves will rapidly lose value and cause a “major problem” for institutional investors and pension funds. Guardian: “CarbonTracker’s latest report reveals that coal reserves held by 16 London-listed companies will release 45bn tonnes of CO2 when burned, equivalent to 86 years of annual UK emissions, which are the tenth highest in the world. Most of the coal is in other countries such as Australia and South Africa.”

    • Richard Branson: “the absolute necessity” of investing in renewables.

      Richard Branson, in posting my latest blog on his website: “Struck by this email from my friend Dr Jeremy Leggett over Christmas highlighting the growing divide between those that believe in the absolute necessity of investing in renewable fuels and those who ignore the obvious need – preferring to focus on short term goals and profits. I believe we must keep investing in alternative fuels to help reduce our Global carbon problem. Those fearing that economic growth will be stifled by investment in renewables are wrong.” etc.

    • High Court rules UK government has acted illegally of solar feed-in tariff target date.

      My message to BBC Radio’s The World Tonight: let us turn this humiliation for HMG into something positive and get back to where we were: creating jobs the nation needs in these hard times. And to Business Green: “We encourage the Secretary of State to accept the judge’s very clear ruling, to not plunge the industry into a further period of uncertainty by considering going to appeal, and to conduct the remainder of the current consultation process properly with constructive conversations with the industry.”

    • Big 6 pressure on UK government led to UK solar feed-in tariff ambush.

      My view in the Huffington Post: “There are only two possibilities, given the absence of a credible savings narrative and the seemingly lethal intent of the six week warning and the market-shrivelling energy-efficiency pre-qualification. One is breathtaking collective incompetence. The other is conspiracy.
      The answer is conspiracy. So I have been told in recent weeks by insiders in Whitehall, Westminster, and in the relevant parts of the energy, PR, and financial industries.”

    • Countercurrents: the triple crunch we face and the barriers to renaissance.

      In an extended interview in India, I talk about the similarities between the credit crunch and the peak oil issue, and the power of renewables and why clean-energy industries are being held back.

    • “A focus on renewables would allow the Government to deliver on some of its cornerstone mantras”.

      My latest column in Sublime magazine: “The current government in Britain appears to be playing fast and loose with some fantastic renewable energy opportunities – and ones that could provide much-needed jobs. what is that about? If the British Prime Minister were being authentic, he could be leading on an impressive story right now. Those of his core mantras that involve energy, taken together in strategic harness, make for an inspiring vision. Picture the scene. His Big Society concept sees communities taking power for themselves, providing for themselves. In short, Britain could be less centralised, more community-centric, more resilient to economic shocks.”

  • MY COMMENTARY ARCHIVE

  • My recent tweets