Archive for the ‘Oil’ Category

“No peak oil – why then is Saudi opening old wells for heavy crude?”

February 17, 2012 Oil

OilPrice.com: The Damman field, shut down 30 years ago, is one such. It is now in a metropolitan area.

Citigroup says shale oil means peak oil is dead.

February 17, 2012 Oil

WSJ: “After decades of decline, ‘U.S. oil production is now on the rise, entirely because of shale oil production,’ said Citigroup. Shale oil could add almost 3.5 million barrels a day to US oil production between 2010 and 2022 and has already slashed 1 million barrels a day from U.S. oil imports. One day it may allow the U.S. and Canada to be self-sufficient in oil, it said.”

Outlook for global oil supply grim even before latest Iran threats.

February 15, 2012 Oil

FT: “Risks to output, once confined to the Middle East, are now spreading to Africa. Inventories are low. And the ability of Saudi Arabia to make up for any shortfall is being called into question. “Not since the late 1970s-early 1980s has there been such a serious threat to oil supply,” a report by Deutsche Bank said.

“End the Big 6 Energy Fix” public campaign launches.

February 10, 2012 Clean Energy, Coal, Gas, Nuclear, Oil

Caroline Lucas speaking for 100 public figures: “First, we are calling on the Government to impose a similar levy to the one it has imposed on North Sea oil companies and the big banks. Over time, such a levy could raise billions, revenues that could be ring-fenced and used to ensure that every home is insulated and highly energy-efficient – starting with the homes of the fuel-poor. This would form part of a Green New Deal and would help to create thousands of new skilled jobs. Second, to prevent energy companies from passing the cost of any levy on to customers, we want the Government to give Ofgem the power to cap prices. This could be linked to the wholesale price to make energy prices fairer. Third, we want the Government to launch a public inquiry into the Big Six energy companies.”

“Fracking boom could finally cap myth of peak oil:” investment banker.

February 1, 2012 Gas, Oil

A Citicorp investment banker professes that the gas (fracking) revolution will spread to oil. “Maybe” is the comment from Conoco Phillips CEO Jim Mulva.

Investors ask BoE to probe risk that fossil-fuel reserves pose “sub-prime” risk.

January 19, 2012 Climate, Coal, Commentaries, Finance, Gas, Oil

Fossil fuel reserves listed in the City of London are “sub-prime” assets posing a systemic risk to economic stability. So warns a high-profile coalition of investors, politicians and scientists , writing an open letter to Sir Mervyn King asking him to launch an investigation. Signatories include Aviva Investors, Climate Change Capital, Conservative politician Zac Goldsmith and Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett. Abatement policies could mean billions of pounds of fossil fuel reserves will rapidly lose value and cause a “major problem” for institutional investors and pension funds. Guardian: “CarbonTracker’s latest report reveals that coal reserves held by 16 London-listed companies will release 45bn tonnes of CO2 when burned, equivalent to 86 years of annual UK emissions, which are the tenth highest in the world. Most of the coal is in other countries such as Australia and South Africa.”

BP sees non-fossil fuel growing faster than any single fossil fuel.

January 18, 2012 Oil

This is the first time any of their long term energy forecasts have said this.

Saudi Arabia targets a $100 oil price.

January 16, 2012 Oil

Up a third from $75, the price it put forward as fair in 2008. The IMF has estimate $80m is needed to balance the domestic budget.

Oil price in euro equivalent is almost at July 2008 peak.

January 15, 2012 Finance, Oil

And as the Washington Post reports, economic concern is rising with it. The gathering sanctions on Iran is a big factor. Price now is not much more than $100, but the euro is not what it was. Last year’s average oil price was a record $107, up 14% on the previous record year, 2008.

America Petroleum Institute threatens Obama with “political backlash”.

January 5, 2012 Oil

The API  launches a political campaign called “Vote 4 Energy”, which will use all modern comms to press both Republican and Democratic politicians to support the industry’s agenda, notably the Keystone XL pipeline.

BP sues Halliburton for the costs of the Macondo spill.

January 3, 2012 Oil

Meanwhile, Halliburton stands firm that it was indemnified by BP. The total costs may be as much as $42bn. But the US DoJ is believed to be preparing criminal charges against BP engineers.

JL blog: Energy dramas for 2012.

January 2, 2012 Clean Energy, Climate, Coal, Finance, Gas, Nuclear, Oil

2011 was a year of growing polarisation for those of us who long for renaissance fuelled by renewables. The Germans announced targets to run their railway system entirely on renewable energy, mostly wind,and solar. Yet BP announced it will quit solar entirely to pile ever further into tar sands, unconventional gas and the rest of the carbon status quo. The IEA pronounced that the cost of energy will rise “viciously” on a global basis without clean energy. Yet the British “Big Six” opted for so much gas that the installation rate of British renewables fell steeply: this despite conventional UK energy prices soaring so steeply that fully 1 in 4 of UK households fell into fuel poverty in 2011, up from 1 in 5 in 2010.
There were so many of these stark contrasts in the theatre of energy last year.
It seems that the closer renewables advocates get to their dream, the harder the defenders of the status quo push back the other way, notwithstanding the increasingly clear economic, environmental and social downsides. They surely are teeing up some dramas for 2012.
Not to mention interesting research material for neuroscientists interested in how dysfunctional human cultures work. Its not as though Big Energy, and their cosy nexus with conventional capital, just do these things and be done with it. They lobby for their short-term perceived interests – hard, and mostly below the radar – entraining many in officialdom and politics to their ruinous causes.
To the extent that solar energy in cloudy Britain might be a tiny-corner microcosm of a much bigger picture of the potential for renewable-powered renaissance, there is a particularly interesting drama unfolding as we enter 2012. In case you missed it, the British High Court ruled on 21st December that the UK government has acted illegally in proposing a retrospective reduction in the solar feed-in tariff. The arguments for and against were summarised that night on the BBC, here (headline and 7 mins 20 secs in for the detail). The government can appeal by January 4th, risking further humiliation in its efforts to cut back a solar market just a tiny fraction the size of Germany’s. Or it can switch tack, resurrect an industry that was creating thousands of jobs – at net economic benefit to the UK economy – in a time of dire need for such, while realigning with some its core strategic themes, not least a Big Society countering austerity-related unemployment with a domestic green industrial revolution. This will be a choice to watch as the dramas in the triple crunch of financial crisis, climate crisis, and energy crisis roll on in 2012.

Iran threatens to shut Straits of Hormuz if nuclear sanctions go ahead.

December 27, 2011 Oil

On 1 December EU ministers said a decision on further sanctions would be taken no later than their January meeting. EU countries import some 18% of Iranian exports, 450,000 barrels. About of third of seaborne oil passed through the 4 miles Straits in 2009.

Some executives now raise concerns about a glut on US oil capacity.

December 20, 2011 Oil

Huge tanks are being added to the biggest pipeline hub in the world, at Cushing in Oklahoma, where capacity will be 79 million barrels by end of next year, up 20%.

EDF and other Big Energy firms have loaned 50 employees to government.

December 5, 2011 Clean Energy, Coal, Gas, Oil

The Guardian reveals that at least 50 employees of companies including the Big 6 have been placed within government to work on energy issues in the past four years: free of charge and working within the departments for secondments of up to two years. “There have also been 195 meetings between ministers from the Department of Energy and Climate Change (Decc) and the energy industry between the 2010 general election and March 2011, according to a Guardian analysis of declared meetings with Decc.” Caroline Lucas: “Companies such as the big six energy firms do not lend their staff to government for nothing – they expect a certain degree of influence, insider knowledge and preferential treatment in return. … None of the staff on secondment in Decc work for renewable energy companies. … Secondments also work in reverse, with civil servants going to work in the energy industry, such as a two-year secondment to Shell and another to Horizon Nuclear Power, a joint venture of E.ON and RWE npower that aims to build nuclear power stations in the UK.”

Brazilian government orders Chevron to shut an offshore well.

December 5, 2011 Oil

This at one of Chevron’s 11 production wells in an important offshore field where the company suffered an oil leak last month. A safety audit last week of the Frade offshore oil platform found that the company did not report the presence of hydrogen sulphide in crude at the facility.

BP claims Halliburton destroyed Deepwater Horizon evidence.

December 5, 2011 Oil

They claim intentional destruction of test results and computer analysis least it be used in evidence against them. This in a court filing ahead of February’s trial to sort out claim and counter claim.

Countercurrents: the triple crunch we face and the barriers to renaissance.

December 5, 2011 Clean Energy, Commentaries, Finance, Oil

In an extended interview in India, I talk about the similarities between the credit crunch and the peak oil issue, and the power of renewables and why clean-energy industries are being held back.

Europe may launch an oil embrago at Iran in wake of embassy attack.

December 1, 2011 Oil

In the wake of the sacking of the british Embassy in Tehran, and oil embargo is under discussion in Europe. The FT reports that “diplomats said one of the key questions for European countries in the weeks ahead would be whether Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states could be persuaded to boost oil production to mitigate the effects.”

Enron-type speculation back in play in energy markets.

December 1, 2011 Finance, Gas, Oil

Enron was a high risk hedge fund disguised as a diversified energy company and some 500 companies had been approved by regulators to trade energy at the time it blew up 10 years ago. It took down Mirant, NRG, NEG and Calpine with it. Now, says Julian Dumoulin-Smith, director of equity research in the Electric Utilities & IPPs Group at UBS Securities, there is a growing queue of groups interested in trades beyond physical assets: Constellation Energy, Mercuria, Arcadia Petroleum, Glencore, RWE, EON, EDF. As one commentator says, its almost come full circle.

Saudi fuel demand for power plants to rise 53% by 2017.

November 23, 2011 Oil

As demand surges, the Kingdom will need 53% more fuel to fire its power and desalination plants by 2017, the head of Water & Electricity Co. says: 2.3 million barrels a day of oil equivalent, compared with 1.5 million barrels last year. Saudi Arabia is using ever more of its 12.5 million barrel-a-day oil capacity at home as it builds new houses and industries that require electricity. The amount of crude burned for power generation has doubled since 2008 and the IEA says this may reach 600,000 barrels a day this year. Khalil al-Shafie, interim president of King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, says the country may use 8 million barrels of oil equivalent a day by 2035.

  • My most recent commentaries

    • Comment on HMG’s decision to take their illegal FiT plan to the Supreme Court.

      Jeremy Leggett: “We have been expecting this but we hoped that Ed Davey would see sense and not take the appeal. If we are lucky this is just a cynical exercise to limit the market to 3rd March and they will withdraw in a few weeks. If not, and they really are serious about a Supreme Court appeal, then the implications for the renewables industry are deeply worrying. Two weeks ago, Ministers reassured the industry that they wanted to see 4 million solar homes in the UK by 2020. This appeal completely undermines that claim. They need to stop rewriting the scheme, end the constant stop-start and provide long-term stability and meaningful returns for investors and customers and give certainty to the 30,000+ employees of this successful industry – one of the few that is actively creating jobs in this country. If the appeal is successful it will allow Government to change feed-in tariffs whenever it chooses, even for projects that are already installed and supposedly guaranteed the feed-in tariff. At a stroke, this would undermine investment in all UK renewables, not just PV, and show investors that the UK government simply cannot be trusted. Fortunately their arguments are weak. They are the same ones unanimously rejected by the Court of Appeal so I wouldn’t give them much chance of success. Sadly, this appeal has the whiff of farce about it. First they try to woo private capital into infrastructure; then they mismanage it; now they go to the Supreme Court to argue for sovereign default to cover their tracks. I just hope the new Secretary of State actually understands what his lawyers are doing.”

    • Climate change should mean a 100% renewables by 2030 target.

      Interview at the Oxford Climate Forum, in Oxford university student magazine, Cherwell: “There are people who are worried about peak oil who aren’t worried about climate change. And vice versa. I’m worried about both. With both of them, at a minimum it’s about wrecking the global economy. A lot more in the case of climate change. These are high stakes issues. And both are high risk. In fact, climate change isn’t just high risk. It’s odds on certainty.” More.

    • UK government loses appeal on illegality of DECC’s solar feed-in tariff cuts.

      Three more judges rule, in the Appeal Court that the government’s proposal to cut tariffs from 12 December was illegal. Business Green: “Jeremy Leggett, chairman of Solarcentury, said the news was a positive outcome for the entire renewable energy industry: “Today we have reminded government that it will be held to account when it acts illegally and tries to push through unlawful policy changes. We would much prefer not to have taken this path but ministers gave us no choice. Our hope now is that we can work together again to restore the thriving jobs-rich solar sector that has been so badly undermined by government actions since October”.”

    • “The carbon bubble will burst – we must be prepared this time”.

      Business Green: “This is really important. No matter where you stand in the green debate, the threat posed by the systemic over valuation of carbon intensive firms and assets is a critical issue that should concern you – really, really concern you.” …. That is the warning currently being sounded by the recently launched Carbon Tracker Initiative, which last week released its second report on the scale of the so-called “carbon bubble” and wrote to Bank of England Governor Mervyn King urging him to take action. The two reports from the group – which is backed by some high profile green thinkers and investors, including the WWF, Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett, former chief scientist Sir David King, and Conservative MP Zac Goldsmith – should be required reading for political leaders, business leaders, and economists everywhere. If there was any sense of proportion, it would be at the top of the agenda at this week’s annual billionaire schmooze-fest at the World Economic Forum in Davos.”

    • Investors ask BoE to probe risk that fossil-fuel reserves pose “sub-prime” risk.

      Fossil fuel reserves listed in the City of London are “sub-prime” assets posing a systemic risk to economic stability. So warns a high-profile coalition of investors, politicians and scientists , writing an open letter to Sir Mervyn King asking him to launch an investigation. Signatories include Aviva Investors, Climate Change Capital, Conservative politician Zac Goldsmith and Solarcentury chairman Jeremy Leggett. Abatement policies could mean billions of pounds of fossil fuel reserves will rapidly lose value and cause a “major problem” for institutional investors and pension funds. Guardian: “CarbonTracker’s latest report reveals that coal reserves held by 16 London-listed companies will release 45bn tonnes of CO2 when burned, equivalent to 86 years of annual UK emissions, which are the tenth highest in the world. Most of the coal is in other countries such as Australia and South Africa.”

    • Richard Branson: “the absolute necessity” of investing in renewables.

      Richard Branson, in posting my latest blog on his website: “Struck by this email from my friend Dr Jeremy Leggett over Christmas highlighting the growing divide between those that believe in the absolute necessity of investing in renewable fuels and those who ignore the obvious need – preferring to focus on short term goals and profits. I believe we must keep investing in alternative fuels to help reduce our Global carbon problem. Those fearing that economic growth will be stifled by investment in renewables are wrong.” etc.

    • High Court rules UK government has acted illegally of solar feed-in tariff target date.

      My message to BBC Radio’s The World Tonight: let us turn this humiliation for HMG into something positive and get back to where we were: creating jobs the nation needs in these hard times. And to Business Green: “We encourage the Secretary of State to accept the judge’s very clear ruling, to not plunge the industry into a further period of uncertainty by considering going to appeal, and to conduct the remainder of the current consultation process properly with constructive conversations with the industry.”

    • Big 6 pressure on UK government led to UK solar feed-in tariff ambush.

      My view in the Huffington Post: “There are only two possibilities, given the absence of a credible savings narrative and the seemingly lethal intent of the six week warning and the market-shrivelling energy-efficiency pre-qualification. One is breathtaking collective incompetence. The other is conspiracy.
      The answer is conspiracy. So I have been told in recent weeks by insiders in Whitehall, Westminster, and in the relevant parts of the energy, PR, and financial industries.”

    • Countercurrents: the triple crunch we face and the barriers to renaissance.

      In an extended interview in India, I talk about the similarities between the credit crunch and the peak oil issue, and the power of renewables and why clean-energy industries are being held back.

    • “A focus on renewables would allow the Government to deliver on some of its cornerstone mantras”.

      My latest column in Sublime magazine: “The current government in Britain appears to be playing fast and loose with some fantastic renewable energy opportunities – and ones that could provide much-needed jobs. what is that about? If the British Prime Minister were being authentic, he could be leading on an impressive story right now. Those of his core mantras that involve energy, taken together in strategic harness, make for an inspiring vision. Picture the scene. His Big Society concept sees communities taking power for themselves, providing for themselves. In short, Britain could be less centralised, more community-centric, more resilient to economic shocks.”

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